India’s Banking Pulse 2025: Lending Slowdown, Digital Dominance & The Next Growth Cycle By Arindam Bose | Banking & Finance Capsule | 31 October 2025 Executive Summary The Indian banking sector in late 2025 stands at a critical transition point: facing net interest margin compression while preserving asset quality, liquidity and credit growth (~9.7% YoY) under disciplined frameworks. Digital finance, led by the Unified Payments Interface (UPI) system, and AI-enabled credit risk modelling are restructuring lending behaviour, inclusion and operational efficiency. The regulatory backdrop—chiefly the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) neutral monetary stance with the policy repo rate at 5.5% — underlines a shift from explosive growth to measured consolidation . Investment-grade real-estate credit and domestic funding flows signal the next growth frontier, even as global headwinds remain a latent risk. In sum: Not a boom but a business-minded maturit...